Yuan Drops as Central Bank Sets Reference Rate Lower

Chinese yuan denominationsThe Chinese yuan was weaker today after the nation’s central bank cut the daily reference rate on concerns that the continuing European crisis would hurt growth prospects.

The People’s Bank of China cut the fixing by 0.18 percent. It stands now at 6.3115 per dollar. The cut was biggest since November 15.

The yuan also dropped as fears of Europe’s crisis deterred traders from buying riskier assets. Zhu Min, the Deputy Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, expressed a negative outlook for the global economic growth and spoke about increasing downside risks at a conference in Singapore today.

USD/CNY rose from 6.2990 to 6.3092 as of 15:49 GMT today.

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 11, 2012 at 

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Euro Plummets as Concerns Skyrocket

Euro banknotesEuro has plummeted below the 1.28 level against the US dollar today as concerns pile up. The latest French bond auction saw higher borrowing costs, and there are renewed concerns about a credit rating downgrade for country. On top of that, Italian banking weakness remains.

It is no surprise that the euro is struggling so much today, reaching lows not seen against the Japanese yen in 11 years, and reaching more recent lows against the US dollar. Indeed, the eurozone is so dominating the markets today that even solid economic data in the United States is being completely ignored.

Yesterday’s UniCredit SA scare remains ingrained in the minds of Forex traders, and today’s French auction isn’t helping matters. On top of that, there will be an EFSF auction tomorrow, and there are worries about how that will go. In the midst of all this uncertainty, European leaders appear powerless to find solutions to the problems. While creditable rumors of a eurozone breakup have yet to be heard, there are some whispers to that effect.

At 15:19 GMT EUR/USD has gained a little more ground, but is still lower at 1.2803, down from the open at 1.2941. EUR/JPY is down to 98.6610 from the open at 99.2865. EUR/GBP is down to 0.8270 from the open at 0.8286

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 11, 2012 at 

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UK Pound Lower as Concern about Isolation Grows

A fan of Great Britain 10-pound notesYesterday, UK pound gained solidly against the euro, but today some of those gains are being given back. UK pound is lower on a combination of risk aversion, as well as concerns as British politicians consider the effects of British isolation from the rest of the eurozone.

Yesterday, Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg worried that Prime Minister David Cameron‘s veto of a new European Union treaty left Britain isolated from the rest of Europe. Cameron refused to sign the treaty, which imposed hefty financial regulations, and would have impact London quite a bit.

Concerns that the European Union would exclude Britain from further planning were raised by Clegg. Cameron, however, insists that the members of the European Union won’t be able to go behind their backs, and that Britain can remain vigilant in ensuring that the European Union remains on task.

For now, the UK pound is down against other majors, falling against low beta currencies like the US dollar and the Japanese yen, as well as dropping against the euro. Concerns about Britain’s exposure to European troubles, especially since yesterday’s French bond auction failed, UniCredit shares had to stop trading, and Spain’s government is demanding a high level of bank capitalization, is a factor in a lower sterling.

At 14:22 GMT GBP/USD is lower at 1.5437, down from the open at 1.5495. GBP/JPY is down to 119.0485 from the open at 119.5150. EUR/GBP is higher at 0.8259, up slightly from the open at 0.8253

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 11, 2012 at 

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Chilean Peso Rallies as Inflation Climbs

10,000-peso bills fanThe Chilean peso rallied after inflation jumped more than was forecast by economists, reducing probability of an interest rate cut by the nation’s central bank.

Chile’s consumer prices jumped 0.6 percent in December. That’s three times above the average forecast. Pablo Castro, an economist at Banco Santander Chile, said:

There is an almost zero probability that the central bank will cut rates in January. The central bank forecast was off by 50 basis points in just one month. That’s a warning signal that the bank will be more cautious in observing whether this inflation phenomena reverses or not.

USD/CLP closed at 510.4500 after opening at 510.8500.

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 10, 2012 at 

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Aussie Mixed in Forex Trading

Australian dollar billsAussie is down against the US dollar as risk aversion continues today, but up against the euro. Concerns about the eurozone crisis have sharpened, and that has investors and Forex traders alike jumpy about what could be next for the global economy. As a result, the Australian dollar is seeing gains against a weaker euro, but losses against the greenback, which is used as a safe haven.

Indeed, the eurozone is back in focus today as Italy’s largest bank insists that it needs more capital. The news sent Asian stocks, including the S&P ASX index in Australia, lower today, and brought the Aussie down against the US dollar. It’s also not helping the Australian dollar that gold prices are lower, and that there are new concerns about Chinese growth going forward.

Even though Aussie is down against the greenback, it is still gaining against European currencies. Aussie is higher against the euro, which appears to be struggling mightily as concerns about the next phase of the eurozone debt crisis reach a new level, and it is also higher against the Great Britain pound, which is exposed to eurozone banks.

At 14:29 GMT AUD/USD is lower at 1.0271, down from the open at 1.0326. EUR/AUD is lower at 1.2468, down from the open at 1.2518. GBP/AUD is down to 1.5088 from the open at 1.5112.

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 10, 2012 at 

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Dollar Rallies, Stalls, Can Resume Advance

A sheet of US 100-dollar bills up to the horizonThe US dollar rallied yesterday as macroeconomic data from the United States was good, while concerns about Europe’s economy persisted. The rally stalled today, but may yet resume as US non-farm payrolls are expected to show robust growth of employment.

The employment index of Automatic Data Processing picked up from 204,000 to 325,000 in December from the previous month, while decline was predicted. Unemployment claims fell from 387,000 to 372,000 last week. The positive employment reports led analysts believe that payrolls, which are released today, would be better than previously estimated. Service industries index rose from 52.0 to 52.6 in December.

The European Commission reported today that the Economic Sentiment Indicator went down to 93.3 in December from 93.8 in November. The financial crisis in the European Union persists, bolstering the US currency. Prospects for another round of stimulating measures from the Federal Reserve still weights on the greenback, though.

EUR/USD slumped from 1.2942 to 1.2788 yesterday and traded at 1.2793 today as of 12:03 GMT after it reached 1.2762 earlier, the lowest rate since September 2010. USD/JPY traded near 77.11 today after it climbed from 76.68 to 77.10 yesterday.

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 10, 2012 at 

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Euro Struggles Continue on Bank Capitalization Concerns

Euro sign monumentBank capitalization concerns are the main focus today, especially after the debacle involving UniCredit. Worries about bank capitalization, and a continuation of the sovereign debt crisis in many eurozone states, has the euro heading lower again today.

Even better news out of the United States, with the news that the December unemployment rate dropped to 8.5% can’t boost risk appetite. There’s just too much focus on the eurozone, and the debt problems in the region. With concerns about bank capitalization, the recent (unfortunate) French bond auction and more, it is tough for the euro to get any sort of a break, and the 17-nation currency is threatening to break lower, through the 1.2700 level.

Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy are scheduled to meet next week to discuss the sovereign debt crisis, and looming bank crisis, and try to come up with a way to defuse the situation. However, dozens of similar meeting have taken place over the last couple years, since Greek problems first became apparent, and nothing substantial has come of them. It is little surprise that the euro can’t seem to find any traction right now.

At 15:34 GMT EUR/USD is down to 1.2714 from the open at 1.2788. EUR/JPY is lower at 77.0970, down from the open at 77.1160. EUR/GBP is a little higher, though, at 0.8259, up from the open at 0.8253.

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 10, 2012 at 

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Canadian Dollar Drops as Oil Declines & Unemployment Grows

All the Canadian dollar bills denominationsThe Canadian dollar fell yesterday and extended its drop today after crude oil declined, while unemployment in Canada unexpectedly increased last month and employment growth was lower than anticipated.

The Canadian unemployment rate rose from 7.4 percent in November to 7.5 percent in December, while most specialists in the labor market expected it to stay unchanged. Canadian employers added 17,500 jobs last month, compared to the median forecast of 17,800. That’s still better than a decline by 18.600 in November.

Crude oil was little changed at $101.90 per barrel in New York today after it dropped $1.41 to $101.81 yesterday as US inventories increased and the European crisis damped demand. The performance of the Canadian currency depends on oil prices as crude is the most important export commodity of Canada. Crude oil may yet advance on tensions around Iran, boosting Canada’s dollar.

USD/CAD rose from 1.0195 to 1.0209 and CAD/JPY advanced from 75.56 to 75.66 as of 13:39 GMT today. Meanwhile, EUR/CAD retreated from 1.3038 to 1.3006.

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 10, 2012 at 

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Czech Koruna Falls to 19-Month Low Against Dollar

Mixed Czech koruna billsThe Czech koruna declined today to the lowest level since July 2010 after minutes of a central bank’s policy meeting showed that policy makers anticipated slower economic growth in the country.

Minutes of the Czech National Bank spoke about economic slowdown:

It was said several times that the Czech economy was slowing and that no domestic demand-pull inflation pressures were apparent.

The slowing growth was attributed mainly to the European crisis:

The opinion was expressed several times that owing to the external situation there were risks and uncertainties that were difficult to quantify. It was said that a large part of the uncertainty was linked with the inconsistency of political solutions to the debt crisis over the past year.

The central bank thinks that performance of the nation’s currency is important for future monetary policy decision. Moves in any way may have a negative impact on the economy as a stronger currency tightens fiscal conditions, while a weaker currency makes imports more expensive. The bank predicted that the koruna will advance this year.

USD/CZK closed at 20.3380 after opening at 20.1910 today. Earlier, the currency pair reached 20.4060 — the highest level since July 2010.

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 10, 2012 at 

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Pound Jumps to Highest Price in More Than a Year Against Euro

Focus on 5-pound noteThe Great Britain pound jumped against the euro to the highest level in more than a year as concerns about the problems of Europe made the UK currency more appealing. The sterling also advanced versus the Swiss franc, but dropped against the US dollar.

Spain had to help Valencia region with a €123 million payment to Deutsche Bank AG. Yield on Spain’s 10-year bonds rose 14 basis points as a result. Britain’s currency played a role of a haven from Europe’s woes before and it’s considered for such a role by Forex traders again.

The United Kingdom has its share of problems, making the pound weaker against some currencies, including the dollar. Still, the recent economic data wasn’t bad. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index rose from 47.7 to 49.6 in December, while the Construction PMI advanced from 52.3 to 53.2 last month. Both indices were expected to decline.

GBP/USD fell from 1.5618 to 1.5598 as of 5:22 GMT today. GBP/CHF climbed from 1.4584 to 1.4702 yesterday and traded near that level today. EUR/GBP was at 0.8281 after opening at 0.8285 today, while it reached 0.8261 yesterday — the lowest level since September 2010.

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Posted by EverythingAboutForex - January 9, 2012 at 

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